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Sector in Focus


        The Indian                                              THE INDIAN CHEMICAL                                             BETWEEN 2005 AND            30% of India’s 2.5+ million   Growth Themes across   billion revenue mark in the

                                                                                                                                                                                     the Indian Chemical sector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 next decade, with attractive
                                                                                                                                                             graduates receiving a STEM
                                                                INDUSTRY HAS BEEN
                                                                                                                                2015, THE AVERAGE
                                                                                                                                                             (Science, Technology,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 investment opportunities
        Chemical Industry:                                      GROWING AT A STEADY                                             LABOR COST IN CHINA          Engineering and         We anticipate that as many as   across all segments –
                                                                PACE AND IS EXPECTED
                                                                                                                                                                                     ~30 Chemical companies in
                                                                                                                                CLIMBED BY ALMOST
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Petrochemicals, Specialty
                                                                                                                                                             Mathematics) degree. The
                                                                TO GROW AT A CAGR OF
                                                                                                                                                                                     India could cross the USD 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Chemicals and Agrochemicals.
                                                                                                                                                             Indian government has also
                                                                                                                                19–20% CAGR,
                                                                ~6-7% TILL FY 2030,
                                                                                                                                                             shifted its focus towards skill
        Poised for                                              CONTRIBUTING NEARLY                                            Key drivers for future       Petrochemical Engineering &   The vision
                                                                                                                                COMPARED TO INDIA’S
                                                                                                                                                             development with the
                                                                                                                                4-5% CAGR
                                                                                                                                                             establishment of institutions
                                                                USD 383 BILLION TO
                                                                                                                                                             like the Central Institute of
                                                                INDIA’S GDP
        Transformative                                                                                                         growth in the Indian          Technology (CIPETs). Also,   ~30 chemicals companies in India that cross
                                                                                                                               chemical sector
                                                                                                                                                             Chinese manufacturers
                                                                                                                                                                                        the USD 1 bn revenue mark
                                                                                                                                                             today are no longer
                                                                                                                               India’s Chemical sector is poised
                                                                                                                                                             competitive with their
                                                                                                                               for transformative growth in the
                                                                                                                                                             Indian counterparts in terms
                                                                                                                                                                                        Growth Themes
        Growth                                                                                                                 coming decade. The industry has   of labor costs. Between      Bulk/Petrochemicals
                                                                                                                               overcome the COVID
                                                                                                                                                             2005 and 2015, the average
                                                                                                                               disruption and is on an
                                                                                                                                                             labor cost in China climbed
                                                                                                                               accelerated long-term growth
                                                                                                                               trajectory, enabled by four key
                                                                                                                                                             compared to India’s 4-5%
                                                                                                                                                                                        •  Need for 15 new world-scale crackers to be added by 2035
                                                                                                                               drivers:                     by almost 19–20% CAGR,      •  Strong ~20-year growth window
                                                                                                                                                             CAGR. In fact, India has the   •  Self-sufficiency being the key theme of investments across
                                                                                                                               •  Increasing Domestic        lowest labor costs among     petchem due to growing domestic demand
                                                                                                                                 Consumption                 the top 6 chemical         •  Import Substitution for products such as styrene,
                                                                                                                                                             producers, presenting an     polycarbonates, PVC, butylrubber etc
                                                                                                                                 India’s per-capita chemical
        Indian chemical industry is on                                                                                           consumption lags other      opportunity for India to
                                                                                                                                                             emerge as the chemical
        a rapid growth                                                                                                           developed countries by a    manufacturing hub of the
                                                                                                                                 wide margin, and is expected
                                                                                                                                                             world.
                                                                                                                                                                                              Specialty Chemicals
        trajectory on the global                                                                                                 to increase significantly in   •  Improving regulatory   •  USD 60 Bn potential across specialty chemicals over next
                                                                                                                                 the coming decade, driven by
                                                                                                                                 India’s strong GDP growth, a
        chemical landscape                                      Glimpses of the            Indian chemical                       growing middle class, and   environment                  10 years
                                                                Indian Chemical            sector has seen                       growing urbanisation in the     The Indian government, in   •  Under-penetration in key end markets presents
                                                                                                                                                                                          significant opportunities for investment
                                                                                                                                 country.
                                                                Industry                   significant                         •  China+1 strategy gaining   its push towards           •  Strong opportunity to emerge as a global manufacturing
                                                                                                                                                             “Atmanirbhar Bharat” has
                                                                                                                                                             given the chemicals sector a
                                                                      6 th                 growth across                         momentum                    high priority due to its     hub by increasing exports due to shift in global supply
                                                                                                                                                                                          chains & adoption of ‘China+1 strategy’
                      Indian Chemical Sector (USD billion)                                 the major                             Over the last 5 years, there   strategic relevance. Various
                                                                      Largest chemicals                                          has been a shift of focus in   favorable policies have been
                                                                      producer in          sub-sectors over                                                  announced and
                                                                                           the last 10 years                     manufacturing from China    growth in the sector – 100%      Agrochemicals
                              6-7 %         USD 383 Bn                the world                                                  global Chemicals            implemented to drive the
                                                                      80K+                        7-8%                           and developed nations to    FDI allowed through        •  Regulations and growing farmer incomes leading to shift
                                                                                                                                 newer, resilient destinations
                                                                      Commercial                                                 such as India. Drivers for this     automatic route, setting up   in consumption basket = Opportunity in crop protection
                                                                                                                                                                                          and allied spaces
                                                                                                                                                             of Petrochemical and
                                                                      chemical                    For                            shift include growing global
                                                                      products                    petrochemicals                 trade tensions, tightening   Chemical Investment Zones   •  Import substitution and new capacity addition to meet
                                                                                                                                 environmental regulations,   (PCPIR) and lower effective   increasing demand from farms
                                                                                                                                                             tax rates being some of
                                                                      ~25%                        10-12%                         rising labor costs in China,   them. Government’s      •  Emergence of contract manufacturing due to lower labor
                                                                                                                                                                                          costs, skilled manpower availability and process
                                                                                                                                 and the COVID-19
                                                                      Contribution to                                            pandemic.                   initiatives such as first-of-its   engineering capabilities
                                                                                                                                                             kind GIS-enabled national
                                                                      India’s GDP in              For specialty                                              land bank portal, improved
                 FY 2022                    FY 2030P                  manufacturing               chemicals                    •  Skilled manpower availability                         As a result, significant CapEx estimated ~ INR 8-10 lakh
                                                                      by 2025                                                    and cost advantage          logistics and multi-modal
                        Source: IBEF, Kearney Secondary Research                                                                                             connectivity have helped the   crores is underway across the Indian chemical sector
                                                                Source: IBEF, Kearney      Source: IBEF, Kearney                 India has a relative        country jump 79 positions
                                                                                                                                 abundance of skilled        on Ease of Doing Business   Source: Kearney analysis
                                                                                                                                 manpower, with more than    ranking in last 5 years.
        Note: Excerpted from the recently CII-Kearney report titled ‘Mission Net-Zero: A Roadmap for the Indian Chemical Industry’ released in November 2022
        28   ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY                                                                                                                                               ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY  29
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