Page 18 - CII Artha Magazine
P. 18

Ongoing                    those for which            Ownership-wise                                                      States Attracting High Ongoing Investments in Q2FY23 (Rs lakh crore)  continued to expand in double   poverty in the country.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    The segments attracting
                                   implementation has stalled
                                                                                                                                                                                        digits on an annual basis.
        investments                (which have not progressed   A breakup of the data shows   central and state) spending         30.0                                                  Investments in the          investments under
                                   over a certain period). It is
                                                                                                                                                                                        manufacturing sector is
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    manufacturing include
                                                                                          moderated sequentially by
                                                              that private sector investment
                                   important to analyse the   (measured by value of       1.4 per cent to reach Rs                25.0  25.6                                            essential to give a big push to   construction & real
                                   trends in ongoing projects   ongoing investments)      133.7 lakh crore in Q2Y23,              20.0     19.2  15.7  15.6                             industrialization, which in turn   estate, chemicals &
        This section analyses the   as well since they are a                              its share in total capex                15.0                 14.2  12.2  11.3                 can lead to creating more jobs,   chemical products and
        trend in ongoing projects   good indicator of the     increased marginally by 1.1                                         10.0                              8.6  8.4  7.0
        from the CMIE database.    investment trajectory over   per cent in Q2FY23 as     remained high at 62 per                  5.0                                                  enhancing wealth and reducing   metal & metal products.
        Ongoing projects are basically   a period of time.    compared to the previous    cent, implying that that even            0.0
        outstanding projects less                             quarter to stand at Rs 81.5   though private investment                                Odisha
                                                              lakh crore during this period.   has shown faster signs of                Maharashtra  Gujarat  Tamil Nadu  Karnataka  Uttar Pradesh  Haryana  Rajasthan  Telangana  Top Sectors Attracting Ongoing Investments in Q2FY23 (Rs lakh crore)
                                                                                          recovery, it is the                                    Andhra Pradesh
                                                              On the other hand, even     government capex that is                                                                      100.0  85.5
                   Total Ongoing Investments (Rs lakh crore)
                                                              though government (both     doing the heavy lifting.                            Source: CMIE capex database & CII Research  80.0      67.5
          220.0                                                                                                                         Note: Ongoing projects = Outstanding projects – implementation stalled  60.0  45.9
                                               216.2                                                                                                                                                           39.2
          216.0                                    215.2                                                                                       [Data extracted on 10th October 2022]    40.0                         23.0  19.1
          212.0                                                                                                                                                                         20.0                                     14.5
                                   208.9                              Trend in Overall Ongoing Investments (Rs lakh crore)                                                               0.0
          208.0   206.2
          204.0                                                 250.0                                                          Sector-wise                 As the economy opened up
          200.0                                                                                                                                            in the aftermath of the             Services (other than  financial)  Transport services  Manufacturing  Electricity  Construction & real  estate  Chemicals &  chemical products  Metals & metal  products
          196.0                                                      68.9                              80.7   81.5             A sector-wise analysis of the   pandemic, the services
                Q1FY21  Q2FY21  Q3FY21  Q4FY21  Q1FY22  Q2FY22  Q3FY22  Q4FY22  Q1FY23  Q2FY23  150.0                          ongoing investments show    sector has been gaining
                                                                                                                                                           momentum. Despite the high
                                                                                                                               that among the sectors, the
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Source: CMIE capex database & CII Research
                       Source: CMIE capex database & CII Research                                                              services (other than financial   inflationary pressures, the    Note: Ongoing projects = Outstanding projects – implementation stalled
                                                                    134.8                              135.6   133.7
                Note: Ongoing projects = Outstanding projects – implementation stalled                                         services) sector attracted the   sector continues to show              [Data extracted on 10th October 2022]
                        [Data extracted on 10th October 2022]
                                                                                                                               highest investment of Rs 85.5   expansion in various
                                                                                                                               lakh crore in Q2FY23.       indicators viz air passenger
                                                                 50.0                                                          Services here includes retail   traffic, hotel occupation,   Going forward, government’s   global supply chain but
                                                                      Q1FY21  Q2FY21  Q3FY21  Q4FY21  Q1FY22  Q2FY22  Q3FY22  Q4FY22  Q1FY23  Q2FY23  trading, transport and logistics   tourism, e-commerce, etc.   push to improve the share of   also keep the momentum
        Total ongoing investment   government (both centre                                                                     services and hotels &                                    manufacturing in GDP to 25   of India’s march towards
        (public + private) reported an   and state), while the                  Government  Private sector                     restaurants.                Further, investments in the   per cent, will not only establish   becoming a developed
        expansion of 3.1 per cent on   investments by the private                                                                                          manufacturing sector have    India as a key player in the   economy.
        an annual basis in Q2FY23   sector grew by a modest                   Source: CMIE capex database & CII Research
        with the print reaching    1.1 per cent in the quarter.        Note: Ongoing projects = Outstanding projects – implementation stalled
        Rs 215.2 lakh crore during                                             [Data extracted on 10th October 2022]
        this period.               The section below presents
                                   a break-up of overall
        However, the total ongoing   investment analysis into
        investments underwent a    three categories, viz      State-wise
        moderation sequentially, with   ownership-wise, state-wise
        the print reporting a decline   and sector-wise.      A state level analysis shows   Gujarat and Karnataka
        in the capital spending by the                        that Maharashtra, Gujarat,   attracted investments in
                                                              Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, Tamil   double-digits annually, during
                                                              Nadu and Karnataka have     the quarter. Both the states
                                                              emerged as top-ranking states   have made a major
              Ownership-wise capital expenditure in Q2FY23 (% share)  in terms of attracting   contribution towards India’s
                                                              investments in Q2FY23.      growth story.

                                                              It is important to note that   Some of the key projects
                                                              while these states attracted   which Gujarat has pulled off

                           37.9      38.2                     higher investments on an    in Q2FY23 include shipping
                                                              annual basis, the level of   infrastructure, drugs &
                                                              investments in Q2FY23       pharmaceuticals, processed
                                22.1                          witnessed a sequential decline   foods and semiconductor
                                                              for Maharashtra and Odisha   manufacturing. Similarly,
                                                              as the state governments    Karnataka invested in a lot
             Central government  State government  Private sector  calibrated their capital   of projects related to
                                                              expenditure after the rise in   transport logistics services,
                       Source: CMIE capex database & CII Research  demand and capacity    housing construction, natural
                       Note: Data extracted on 10th October 2022
                                                              utilization in the industry.  gas trading and distribution.



        18   ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY                                                                                                                                               ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY  19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             DECEMBER 2022                                                                                                                                                                                                  DECEMBER 2022
   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23