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Sector in Focus



        The Bank of England further                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Industry                   government has taken several   the aircraft systems. Besides,   forge strategic partnerships,
        alluded that, depending on                            Policy Rate of Major Central Banks (%)                           The MRO                                                                                                                                                                proactive steps. The MRO   there is a regulatory overhang   collaborations and acquisitions
        what the evidence on the             6.0           5.50                                       4.0                                                                                                                                                                  Potential                  Guidelines 2021 provide a   wherein the MRO providers   for building better state of the
        economy indicates, it may need       5.0                                5.13                                                                                                                                                                                                                  clutch of initiatives for one it   must comply with numerous   art technology for engines,
        to raise interest rates again.       4.0                      4.25                                                                                                                                                                                                                            provides security of tenure   regulations and standards of   landing gear and major
                                             3.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                           As per industry estimates, the   and transparency of land   different countries. The   components maintenance. The
        On the other hand, China has                                                                  3.5                                                                                                                                                                  size of the industry, pegged at   leasing through open tenders,   non-recognition of Indian   availability of a huge pool of
        started cutting interest rates to    2.0                                                 3.50                          Industry in                                                                                                                                 US$1.7 billion in 2021, is   exemptions on airport   standards by foreign       talented IT professionals should
        bolster growth in the economy        1.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                           expected to touch US$4.0   royalties on all AAI airports,   counterparts, sub scale   give us a heads-up in avionics.
        which has been hit by a              0.0                                           -0.10                                                                                                                                                                           billion by 2031 registering a   for establishment of MRO   operations, inadequate capital
        property crisis, falling exports     -1.0                                                     3.0                                                                                                                                                                  CAGR of 8.9 per cent as    facilities etc – to develop India   investments, low value   MRO companies will have to be
                                                          Q3 2023 (Jul-Aug)  Q3 2023 (Jul-Aug)  Q3 2023 (Jul-Aug)  Q3 2023 (Jul-Aug)  Q3 2023 (Jul-Aug)  India- Poised                                                                                                     reinforces the potential of   sector.                be a challenge especially for   first operating model which
                                                  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023                                       average of 5.6 per cent. This   attract investments to the   spare parts, among others can   and will need to shift to a digital
        and weak consumer spending.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        compared to the global     as a global MRO hub and   addition, lack of ecosystem for   future ready, frugal and efficient
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           India to become a significant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                small players with limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           could enhance operational
                                                     US       Eurozone    UK        Japan    China (rhs)                                                                                                                                                                   regional MRO hub and       Similarly, the National Civil   resources.           efficiency, improve service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           quality, ensure transparency with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aviation Policy 2016 and other
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           gradually strive to establish its
                                                                     Source: National Sources                                                                                                                                                                              foothold in the global supply   measures like providing   Further, the market structure   stakeholders with real-time
                                                                                                                               to take off                                                                                                                                 Indian carriers account for   MRO sector, rationalisation of   abroad for lucrative jobs such   development.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           chain.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           tracking and aid in manpower
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                promotes taking an aircraft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      infrastructure status to the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                as maintenance checks and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      GST, removal of Gross
         GLOBAL TRADE                                  Export Growth Trajectory Across Major Economies (y-o-y%)                                                                                                                                                            one of the largest order books   Turnover Tax (GTO), treating   overhaul given that the Indian   There is a need for creating a
         GROWTH REMAINS                           40.0                                            40                                                                                                                                                                       of aircraft manufactures. With   transactions sub-contracted by   fleet is lease based. This is a   talent pool with cutting edge
         WEAK                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              the 470 aircraft on order by   foreign OEMs and MRO   lost opportunity for the Indian   technological and engineering
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Tatas (Air India) and another   companies to domestic MROs   MRO sector.        capabilities. For this incremental
                                                  20.0                                            20                                                                                                                                                                       500 aircraft by IndiGo, the   as exports with zero-rated                        steps such as joint ventures with
        Trade continues to be a key                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Indian aviation sector is poised   GST, waiving custom duty on                  established global MRO players,
        driver for building resilience                                          3.9                                                                                                                                                                                        for exponential growth that   tools, toolkits and spares   Way Forward          focus on MRO segments with
        in the global economy, but it             0.0                  -0.5             -4.0      0                                                                                                                                                                        will inevitably create a   imported by MROs, and                                lower IP control (electrical and
        will remain under pressure in                          -7.3                            -4.3                            Introduction               airframe maintenance                                                                                             significant demand and market   permitting 100 per cent                         electronics, avionics, structural
        2023 due to the softening of             -20.0                                            -20                                                     functions. However, the major                                                                                    for repair and maintenance   Foreign Direct Investment   The Government has taken   repair, etc.) and a gradual shift
        global demand. This makes it                    Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  he maintenance, repair,   segment of MRO operations   capability within the country.   (FDI) through the automatic   proactive measures and many   towards the higher end of the
        even more important for                                                                                                T   and overhaul sector    i.e., engine and component                                                                                       In fact, according to industry   route, etc. are some of the   of the constraints faced by the   MRO value chain (such as
                                                                                                                                                          MRO services which are
        governments to avoid trade                        US    Eurozone  UK (rhs)  Japan (rhs)  China                         (MRO) ensures the safety and   capital intensive and fiercely                                                                               reports, India is poised to be   other key interventions to   MRO industry have been   manufacture of landing gears,
        fragmentation and refrain                                    Source: National Sources                                  airworthiness of aircrafts   restricted by OEMs through                                                                                     the third largest civil aviation   attract investments to the   addressed and steps taken to   etc.) need to be taken.
        from introducing obstacles to                                                                                          through repair, service, and   IPRs are largely procured from                                                                               market in the world by 2026,   sector.               boost the sector. As the sector
        trade.                                                                                                                 inspection. Moreover, it                                                                                                                    which clearly throws up                              evolves, further interventions   There is thus strong case for the
                                    trade volume of goods and                                                                                             abroad. Hence, about 80-85                                                                                       sufficient opportunity for                           may be required to propel   Indian MRO sector to build scale
                                    services to slow from 5.1 per                                                              constitutes the second highest   per cent of MRO                                                                                            growth and expansion of MRO                          growth in the sector. However,
        Global trade growth in 2023                              Outlook                                                       cost of operation of airlines   requirements in India are                                                                                                              Challenges                                           to effectively compete
        is expected to be subpar    cent in 2022 to 2.4 per cent                                                               after ATF. As such, the    currently met through imports                                                                                    facilities in India.                                 at this point of time it is for   internationally for which it
        despite a slight upgrade in   in 2023, while the volume of   Global outlook remains   year. Although a slowdown        development of indigenous   or done abroad. This only                                                                                                                                            the private corporate sector   should tie up with large scale
        GDP projections since last   exports of goods and services   highly uncertain amidst the   in China’s economy in       capacity in MRO sector shall   underpins the need to develop                                                                                The availability of a rich and   Due to various historical   to leverage the conducive   anchor companies to take a lead
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                policy sphere and India’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      reasons and the trade
        fall. Weighed down by the   is expected to fall to 2.5 per   lingering war in Ukraine,   recent weeks is likely to     play a pivotal role in     and channelize domestic                                                                                          diverse pool of skilled    practices of the global OEMs   dominant position in the   in the global market.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           workers, engagement with
        effects of war in Ukraine,   cent in 2023 from 4.8 per   high level of inflation and   pose as a challenge to          revitalizing the Indian aviation   capabilities in the segment.                                                                             redelivery maintenance     the MRO players in India face   global order book of the   To conclude, the MRO sector in
        stubbornly high inflation,   cent last year.             continued monetary       global demand.  The                  sector and shaping its growth.                                                                                                              contracts and favourable   formidable challenges which   aircraft manufactures, to seize   India is presented with a huge
        tighter monetary policy and                              tightening undertaken by   developed economies, on            The presence of an efficient                                                                                                                policy interventions of the   come in the way of the   the opportunity. First, the   opportunity to support the
                                                                 the central banks to tackle
        financial market uncertainty,   Further, as per the latest   inflation. The above stated   the other hand, would       MRO sector would be critical                                                                                                                government shall be further   sector’s growth. For instance,   existing players need to   growth of Indian aviation. India
        the volume of world         quarterly data, exports have   reasons are likely to   continue to post slower             for the sustainability of the                                                                                                               catalysts for spurring growth   Indian MROs find it difficult to   expand the MRO capacities to   shall surely seize this golden
        merchandise trade is        started to lose momentum as   dampen the growth       growth. Moreover, as                 aviation industry and in the                                                                                                                of the domestic MRO sector.  establish a presence in the   India to cater to the large   opportunity to eventually
                                                                                          inflation trajectory is
        expected to grow by 1.7 per   the global economy has     prospects of economies   moderating from its peak,            process it would create wealth                                                                                                                                         existing global value chains   number of aircrafts under   emerge as a global hub for
        cent this year, decelerating   sustained multiple shocks   across geographies in the   we can expect central           and employment in the                                                                                                                       Policy                     comprising OEMs, established   order and make provisions for   aviation maintenance. The
                                                                                                                               country.
        from 2.7 per cent growth in   such as ripple effects from the   current year. However,   banks across the world to                                                                                                                                                                            MROs and airline operators.   more land to be acquired for   question is not Will? It is When?
        2022, as per the latest report   war and the related food &   there are signs of growth   lower the pace of interest   The MRO sector has four                                                                                                                                                Moreover, due to the brain   the development of additional
        by World Trade Organisation   energy crisis.  Import demand   recovery in developing   rate hikes going forward        major segments namely- line,                                                                                                                Initiatives                drain to the middle East   airport infrastructure,
        (WTO).                      too started to soften as the   economies with India and   or even look at a pause,                                                                                                                                                                                impediments are also faced   including the creation of MRO
                                    growth slowed in major       China expected to                                             components, engines and                                                                                                                                                due to paucity of experienced   facilities at the site.
                                    economies.                                            which would further                  airframes maintenance. Of                                                                                                                   Responding to the pressing   engineering, design and
        The IMF, too, has warned that                            contribute a major chunk   propel demand.                     these four segments, the                                                                                                                    requirements for a robust
        global flow of goods is                                  to the global growth this                                     Indian MROs are competently                                 Shri Piyush Srivastava, Senior Economic Adviser                                 MRO sector to support the   technical manpower who can   The time is now ripe for the
        levelling off. It expects the                                                                                          performing the line and                                     & Additional Secretary, Ministry of Civil Aviation                              aviation industry, the     negotiate the complexities of   domestic MRO industry to



        30   ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY                                                                                                                                               ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY  31
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             SEPTEMBER 2023                                                                                                                                                                                                 SEPTEMBER 2023
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