Page 24 - CII Artha Magazine
P. 24

State of States



                                                               was also mirrored in Q1FY24   higher PAT Margins during the
                        Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR)          GDP print as these continued   said quarter. The PAT Margin     Analysing
           8.0                                                 to benefit from government’s   for the oil & gas sector
           7.0                                          7.2    sustained push towards     received a boost from lower
                                                               infrastructure spending. The   crude oil prices compared to
           6.0                                                 continued sluggishness in   a year-ago period and no cut
           5.0                           5.9                   external demand, however,   in retail prices of petrol and      Economic
           4.0                                                 impacted on the net sales of   diesel. Also, earnings in the
           3.0                                                 the Textile sector.        refining segment are likely to
           2.0                                                                            have benefitted from the             Performance
               Q1FY21  Q2FY21  Q3FY21  Q4FY21  Q1FY22  Q2FY22  Q3FY22  Q4FY22  Q1FY23  Q2FY23  Q3FY23  Q4FY23  Q1FY24  Of the 15 sectors,   availability of cheaper Russian
                                                               Pharmaceuticals, ITES, Power,
                                                                                          crude oil in Q1 FY24.
                                                               Consumer Durables saw
                   Note: includes analysis of 1910 non-financial listed companies
                      Source: CMIE Prowess Database and CII Research                                                           of Indian
        Corporate                   textiles and oil & gas, posted a   Outlook
                                    positive annual growth in net
        performance                 sales in Q1FY24. Sectors such   The outlook for corporate   The volatility in crude oil    States
                                                                 profitability remains mixed
                                                                                          prices and external
                                    as Automotive, Capital goods,
        across sectors              Real estate & Construction,   in the second quarter. While   headwinds will impinge on
                                                                                          the corporate performance
                                                                 on the one hand, high
                                    Construction material,
                                    Consumer Durables,           inflationary pressures in the   too.
        While the easing of input cost   Pharmaceuticals, Financial   second quarter (July-Sept)
        pressures supported margin   Services and Transport      along with subdued       In contrast, the momentum
        expansion for most sectors in   Logistics posted a       prospects for the        seen in capital goods and
        Q1FY24, the slowdown in net   double-digit growth in net   agricultural sector are   infrastructure-related             ndia stands as the world's   and surpassing pre-pandemic   potential to catch up with the   GDP. In the northern region,
        sales was more pronounced   sales which is indicative of   expected to weigh on   sectors is likely to continue        I fastest-growing major    levels.                    high-performing states in the   states like Punjab, Haryana, and
        in the export-oriented      easing supply chains and     domestic demand having   due to the government’s              economy and is well poised to                         years to come, given their   Rajasthan make significant
        sectors as high domestic real   growing economic activity.   implications for sectors such   push to boost investment   reach US$9 trillion milestone   States like Gujarat,   current trajectory.       contributions, accounting for
        rates and slowing global    The growth in net sales in the   as FMCG, etc.        levels in the economy. The           by 2030. States hold the key to   Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and                    18.5 per cent of the GDP.
        economy impacted demand.    automotive sector in Q1FY24   Export-sensitive sectors   upcoming festive season will      achieving this vision, as they   Karnataka are the economic   Regionally, the Southern region   Eastern states, represented by
                                    was on the back of healthy   such as textiles could                                        drive India’s economic growth   powerhouses, driving the   stands out as the most   West Bengal, Odisha, and Bihar,
        Our analysis shows that,    demand, especially in the SUV   continue to feel the heat of   further bolster domestic    and development trajectory.   nation’s GDP by contributing   significant contributor to   contribute 12.5 per cent and
                                                                                          demand and lead to a rise in
        among the 15 major sectors   segment as well as price hikes   uncertain global economic   private consumption.         However, regional disparities   to nearly half of the nation’s   India’s GDP, with states like   Central region, including Uttar
        (including oil & gas and    implemented by automakers.   conditions.                                                   loom large in India’s economic   economic output and   Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka,   Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh,
        financial services), all sectors   The healthy performance of                                                          performance, stemming from   outperforming national GDP   Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and   contribute 13.6 per cent to the
        barring chemicals, power,   construction related sectors                                                               diverse geography and varying   growth. These are large and   Telangana contributing around   nation’s output. The Northeast
                                                                                                                               state-level economic growth.   diversified economies with a   30 per cent to the nation’s   region, comprising states like
                                                                                                                               Five states – Maharashtra,   well-established manufacturing   economic output. The western   Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, and
                                         Snapshot of Sectoral Performance of Corporates in Q1FY24
                                                                                                                               Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka   base and a robust services   region, anchored by Gujarat   others, has a relatively modest
                            20                                                                                                 and Uttar Pradesh are the   sector. Rajasthan, Uttar   and Maharashtra, contributes   economic share, standing at
                                                                      Pharmaceutical
                                                               ITES                                                            major contributors to India’s   Pradesh, West Bengal and   roughly 23 per cent to India’s   just 2.7 per cent.
                                            Power                             Transport & Logistics                            GDP, with a collective GSDP   Chhattisgarh are emerging as
                                                             Q4FY23
                                                                Consumer Durables                                              of about Rs 75 lakh crore   high-potential states, displaying
                                                     Q1FY24                                                                    representing a substantial 47   robust GSDP growth rates
                              10      Chemicals         FMCG      Construction material                                        per cent share in India’s GDP.  that surpass the national         Regional Contribution to India’s GDP (%)
                          PAT Margin (%)  Oil & Gas    Metals & mining   Capital goods    Real estate & construction           India’s GDP for the fiscal year   average in the post-pandemic                    18.5
                                                                        Financial services
                                                             Automotive
                                                                                                                                                          period. These states have
                                                                                                                                                          contribution of nearly 20 per
                                                                                                                               lakh crore (at constant prices),
                             0            Textiles                                                                             2022-23 has reached Rs 160   collectively made substantial            30.0             2.7
 Further, higher profits also   average rate of 4.43 per cent   improved to 7.2 from 5.9 a                                     surpassing its pre-pandemic   cent to the nation’s GDP.
 helped the companies sustain   in the first quarter of the   year ago, thereby reflecting                                     five-year average of Rs 130   Smaller states such as Assam,                           12.5
 their debt servicing capability   previous fiscal. The interest   stronger financial health of                                lakh crore spanning from 2015   Tripura, Manipur and
 despite higher interest rates.   coverage ratio, which is a   the corporates. Robust   -10                                    to 2020. Majority of the states   Arunachal Pradesh are poised          22.7      13.6
 During the first quarter, RBI   ratio of the company’s   balance sheets of the private   -20  0  20  40                       have shown a remarkable    to become new frontiers,
 kept its key policy repo rate   earnings before interest and   sector and banks, too, confirm   Net Sales (y-o-y%)            recovery from the challenges   demonstrating significant
 unchanged at 6.5 per cent,   taxes over its interest   this trend.  Note: includes analysis of 524 non-financial listed companies   posed by the Covid-19   progress in growth. They have    North  North East  East  Central  West  South
 which is much higher than the   expense during the period,   Source: CMIE Prowess Database and CII Research                   pandemic with their GSDP   recently registered rapid                        Source: MoSPI
                                                                                                                               witnessing significant growth   growth rates and hold the


        24   ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY                                                                                                                                               ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY  25
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
             SEPTEMBER 2023                                                                                                                                                                                                 SEPTEMBER 2023
   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27   28   29