Page 23 - CII Artha Magazine
P. 23

State of States


 Sectoral   sector growth in net sales   Metals & Mining saw subdued   hand, sectors such as   Building

 Automotive, Transport &
 was driven by premiumization
 PAT margins in 3QFY23 on an
 Trends: A mix   through SUV demand, while   annual basis. These sectors   Logistics, Retail get the
 were adversely impacted by
 benefit from high pent-up
 IT sector sales remained
 of good and   strong due to healthy demand   lower realizations owing to   demand and return of pricing   Human
 for India’s software service
 power, while on the other
 easing global commodity
 bad  exports in FY23.   prices A slowdown in global   hand, sectors such as Textiles,
 demand is another factor
 Metals & Mining, Consumer
 However, the impact of   which is likely to impact these   Durables and FMCG face
 The dampening effect of high   slowing external demand and   sectors. However, sectors   pressure from weak external
 inflation levels on consumers’   softening of commodity   witnessing an uptick in PAT   demand and high inflation.  Capital for
 purchasing power along with   prices impinged on the net   margins in Q3FY23 include
 slowing external demand has   sales growth of sectors such   sectors such as IT, Pharma,
 impacted the volume growth   as metals & mining,   Power, Transport & Logistics   Outlook
 in some sectors.  construction and consumer   as well as FMCG. Festive led
 durables sectors which grew   demand, cost rationalization,   Going forward, as the   Economic
 Our analysis shows that,   at a slower pace in the third   easing input prices and   economy is poised for a
 among the 17 major sectors   quarter on an annual basis.   sustained economic activity   slowdown in the current
 (these include Oil & Gas and   The net sales of Textiles   resulted in higher PAT   fiscal, the corporate sector
 financial companies) that we   contracted on an annual basis   margins for this cohort.   growth could remain   Growth
 track, except Textiles and   in the reporting quarter. In   subdued as well. While a
 Financial Services, all other   sequential terms, sectors such   Sequentially, Consumer   recovery in rural demand
 sectors posted a positive   as Automotive, Oil & Gas,   Durables, Metals & Mining,   and improvement in
 annual growth in net sales in   Financial Services, Metals &   Pharmaceutical and Textile   consumer sentiments   [State-level Analysis]
 Q3FY23. Sectors such as   Mining, Pharmaceuticals,   sectors witnessed subdued   could strengthen the
 Automotive, Power, IT,   Power, Telecommunication   PAT margins in the said   FMCG, Retail and other
 Transport & Logistics among   services and Textiles reported   quarter.   sectors, the outlook for
 others, posted a double-digit   a contraction in net sales in   sectors dependent on
 growth in net sales indicative   Q3FY23.    The often talked about   global demand remains
 of easing supply chains, pickup   uneven recovery in demand   uncertain amid global
 in semiconductor chip   Of the 17 sectors, sectors   gets mirrored in the patchy   recessionary concerns.  t a time when the global   are States responding to the
 supplies and growing   such as Textiles, Oil & Gas,   performance of net sales and   A financial crisis has   felt need to invest in human
 economic activity. Automotive   Real Estate & Construction,   margins for sectors. On one
        accelerated the shift in   capital by providing the
        economic power to emerging   requisite resources for
        economies, India is well poised   improving the quality of the
 Snapshot of Sectoral Performance of Corporates in Q3FY23  to emerge as a front-runner in   education system and
 Corporate Performance - Q3'FY23
 20     driving global growth, aided by   developing market-oriented
        its demographic potential and   skills?
 IT & ITES
        investment in human capital. In
        this context, good quality   THE SHARE OF
 FMCG  Power  education would be a critical
 Pharmaceutical   Chemicals  Transport & Logistics   lever, which would help   EXPENDITURE
                                     DEVOTED TO
 10
 PAT Margin (%)  Textile  Financial services  Consumer durable Construction material  Q3FY23  Automotive  Retail   Q2FY23  harness the potential of its   EDUCATION HAS
 Capital goods
        human capital and boost the
                                     DECLINED IN
        nation’s economic growth
                                     MAJORITY OF STATES
 Metals & mining
        implementation of policies
 Real estate and construction   Oil & Gas   prospects.  And since the   IN THE POST   share of expenditure devoted   around 13.6 per cent in both
 0                                   PANDEMIC YEARS           to education and allied     2021-22 and 2022-23.
        related to education and skill                        activities has declined in   Doubtless some individual
        training lies largely within the                      majority of states in the post   states, such as Punjab and
        domain of the states, it would   A comparison between   pandemic years. This is borne   Bihar, have shown a rise in the
        be crucial for states to take   2019-20, the pre-pandemic
 -10    the lead in setting aside funds   year and 2021-22 (RE), the   out from the fact that the   share of education in total
 -20  0  20  40                                               aggregate expenditure of    expenditure in 2021-22 but
 Net Sales (% Y-o-Y)  for developing human capital   post-pandemic year, shows   states on educational services   the increase has been marginal
        in the state and country.     that even as most states have
 Source: CMIE Prowess Database and CII Research  increased their education   as a percentage of total   and not enough to make a
 Note: includes analysis of 2380 non-financial listed companies across 17 sectors. Telecommunication services is an outlier (10.2, -12.8), hence was removed from the chart  expenditure has dropped from   meaningful difference.
        Against this backdrop, the   budgets in absolute terms in   15.1 per cent in 2019-20 to
        question arises is that: How far   2021-22 over 2019-20, the



 22  ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY                                ANALYSIS, RESEARCH, THOUGHT LEADERSHIP & ADVOCACY  23
                                                                                           QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
 MAY 2023                                                                                               MAY 2023
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